All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Bloomington North Early Bird |
Dave Bannon Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Terre Haute North Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/13 |
8/19 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
10/7 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
| Team Rating |
842 |
1,001 |
1,023 |
1,059 |
877 |
858 |
916 |
919 |
925 |
803 |
837 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
1,001 |
1,023 |
1,059 |
877 |
858 |
916 |
838 |
925 |
803 |
837 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Bloomington North Early Bird |
Dave Bannon Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Terre Haute North Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
|---|
| 124 |
Lily Barton |
10 |
19:50 |
18:49 |
19:30 |
19:17 |
20:11 |
19:38 |
19:41 |
20:10 |
20:00 |
20:00 |
20:11 |
| 743 |
Jaryn Strong |
10 |
21:59 |
23:22 |
23:34 |
23:20 |
22:32 |
23:23 |
22:40 |
22:27 |
22:07 |
21:56 |
21:43 |
| 891 |
Trinity Rogers |
9 |
22:20 |
24:12 |
23:45 |
24:15 |
22:15 |
21:57 |
23:33 |
|
22:56 |
21:57 |
22:21 |
| 933 |
Marianne Glaziner |
11 |
22:27 |
22:53 |
22:28 |
22:28 |
22:31 |
22:27 |
22:27 |
22:05 |
22:56 |
22:16 |
22:24 |
| 1,169 |
Kaitlyn Koenig |
11 |
23:00 |
22:48 |
23:12 |
24:25 |
22:50 |
23:07 |
22:27 |
22:36 |
23:03 |
22:50 |
23:55 |
| 1,296 |
Breanna Smith |
10 |
23:16 |
24:12 |
25:39 |
24:42 |
25:24 |
24:33 |
24:56 |
24:58 |
|
24:08 |
22:59 |
| 1,377 |
Sarah Lonneman |
12 |
23:25 |
24:02 |
|
23:56 |
|
22:39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Crispin Ewen |
10 |
23:38 |
25:01 |
25:00 |
24:06 |
24:13 |
24:15 |
23:39 |
23:41 |
23:33 |
23:14 |
23:40 |
|
Arwen Wroblewski |
9 |
24:21 |
24:38 |
24:41 |
|
24:27 |
23:51 |
|
24:17 |
24:33 |
|
|
|
Aeryn Bradley |
9 |
26:10 |
29:11 |
28:13 |
27:16 |
24:40 |
24:54 |
27:13 |
25:14 |
|
|
|
|
Emily Wright |
12 |
26:46 |
27:02 |
24:54 |
|
25:55 |
|
27:05 |
28:28 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
12.2 |
346 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.6 |
7.0 |
19.8 |
36.7 |
22.1 |
8.0 |
3.8 |
1.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.9 |
143 |
|
|
|
29.5 |
55.6 |
12.0 |
3.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.1 |
69 |
15.8 |
59.8 |
19.5 |
5.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Barton |
62.2% |
97.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
62.2% |
62.2% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Barton |
100% |
24.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Jaryn Strong |
100% |
99.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
59.0% |
| Trinity Rogers |
100% |
114.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17.4% |
| Marianne Glaziner |
100% |
118.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.4% |
| Kaitlyn Koenig |
100% |
133.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Breanna Smith |
100% |
140.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Barton |
100% |
9.3 |
|
|
0.4 |
1.8 |
4.0 |
7.1 |
9.7 |
11.6 |
12.1 |
11.4 |
9.5 |
7.9 |
7.4 |
5.7 |
4.5 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jaryn Strong |
100% |
31.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Trinity Rogers |
100% |
36.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Marianne Glaziner |
100% |
38.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kaitlyn Koenig |
100% |
47.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Breanna Smith |
100% |
51.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lily Barton |
1.1 |
47.5 |
36.7 |
11.2 |
3.8 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jaryn Strong |
11.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.2 |
14.5 |
24.4 |
20.3 |
17.1 |
11.5 |
5.1 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
| Trinity Rogers |
14.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.9 |
7.9 |
12.5 |
15.0 |
15.3 |
14.2 |
11.4 |
8.4 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Marianne Glaziner |
15.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
1.2 |
3.1 |
6.0 |
10.7 |
15.1 |
14.7 |
13.4 |
10.6 |
7.2 |
6.5 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
| Kaitlyn Koenig |
23.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
5.0 |
6.6 |
8.7 |
10.4 |
11.9 |
12.5 |
13.6 |
| Breanna Smith |
26.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
3.4 |
6.0 |
7.6 |
10.5 |
|
